Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 25

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday


	Añorga		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.77
	4.3	3.1	1.79
	4.31	3.1	1.79
	4.52	3.26	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (5.08)	3.14 ↓ (3.5)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Añorga
20.8%

Draw
28.6%

Lagun Onak
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

26%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

25.7%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Añorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lagun Onak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lagun Onak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Añorga is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lagun Onak is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lagun Onak is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Añorga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Añorga KKE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.03.24	Vitoria - Añorga	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Añorga - Pasaia	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Padura - Añorga	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Añorga - Touring KE	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	San Ignacio - Añorga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.03.24	Lagun Onak - Alavés C	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Deusto - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Lagun Onak - Leioa	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Durango - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Lagun Onak - Urduliz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Lagun Onak - Añorga	3:1

Añorga - Lagun Onak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide