Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 21

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Bærum		Flint

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.75	5
	1.48	4.84	4.38
	1.49	4.94	4.64	Watch
	1.5	4.2	4.5
	1.46	4.75	4.98
	1.47	4.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.68)	4.71 ↑ (4.05)	4.75 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
61.5%

Draw
19.3%

Flint
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

22.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

22.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bærum's performance.

Flint has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bærum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint than the current prediction. (+4%)

Bærum - Flint Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
73', 1 - 0, Moula J. ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, Moula J. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Bransdal L. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Bærum is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bærum won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
07.09.24	Ullern - Bærum	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Bærum - Nordstrand	3:3 ✺
24.08.24	Oppsal - Bærum	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Asker Fotball - Bærum	0:1 ✺
12.08.24	Bærum - Sarpsborg 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWWT
- IL Flint
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
07.09.24	Flint - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2	2:4 ✺
31.08.24	Åssiden - Flint	1:4 ✺
24.08.24	Flint - Mjøndalen 2	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Flint - Åskollen	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Frigg Oslo - Flint	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
15.06.24	Flint - Bærum	0:1

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