Match Info

Date: 17 June 2022, Friday


	BCH Lions		Ulaanbaatar City

	1	X	2
	6.75	6	1.26
	10	7.5	1.15
	10	7	1.13
	8.14	7.19	1.14
	9.5	6.55	1.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.88 ↑ (4.47)	6.85 ↑ (4.54)	1.18 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BCH Lions
10.2%

Draw
13.2%

Ulaanbaatar City
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

18.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

17.7%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BCH Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BCH Lions's form might have worsened.

Ulaanbaatar City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulaanbaatar City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BCH Lions than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BCH Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulaanbaatar City than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulaanbaatar City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

BCH Lions - Ulaanbaatar City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. BCH Lions will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Ulaanbaatar City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulaanbaatar City: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 6).

BCH Lions has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ulaanbaatar City is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ulaanbaatar City is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches BCH Lions won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams BCH Lions won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BCH Lions
Mongolian Premier League
21.05.22	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - BCH Lions	11:1 ✺
18.05.22	BCH Lions - Ulaanbaatar	2:5 ✺
15.05.22	Falcons - BCH Lions	5:1 ✺
11.05.22	Deren - BCH Lions	5:0 ✺
06.05.22	BCH Lions - Athletic 220	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLLT
- Ulaanbaatar City FC
Mongolian Premier League
22.05.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Khangarid	3:3 ✺
19.05.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Tuv Buganuud	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Ulaanbaatar City	4:1 ✺
10.05.22	Ulaanbaatar - Ulaanbaatar City	2:0 ✺
05.05.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Falcons	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
10.04.22	Ulaanbaatar City - BCH Lions	8:0
23.09.21	BCH Lions - Ulaanbaatar City	3:4
18.08.21	Ulaanbaatar City - BCH Lions	3:1

BCH Lions - Ulaanbaatar City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide