Match Info

I Lyga - Round 4

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Minija Kretinga

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.3	2.02	Watch
	3.38	3.75	1.99
	3.34	3.62	1.93	Watch
	3.3	3.1	1.95
	3.43	3.5	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.34)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	1.96 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
27.4%

Draw
26.3%

Minija Kretinga
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BE1 NFA Kaunas's form might have worsened.

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minija Kretinga's recent form is better than expected.

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, ⚽,
55', 1 - 3, ⚽,
66', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 2.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, BE1 NFA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FK Minija	25	22	1	2	68:13	55	67
3	BE1 NFA	24	16	2	6	44:24	20	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
18.03.26	Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
13.03.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - BFA Vilnius	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Minija Kretinga - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3 ✺
31.10.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - FA Šiauliai B	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Panevėžys 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWWW
- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
18.03.26	Minija Kretinga - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Minija Kretinga - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	Minija Kretinga - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3 ✺
31.10.25	Minija Kretinga - Transinvest	0:5 ✺
24.10.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
09.11.25	Minija Kretinga - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3
27.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	1:1
04.10.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	5:0
18.05.24	Minija Kretinga - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:1
29.07.23	Minija Kretinga - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1
11.03.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	2:2
11.09.22	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	2:1

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