Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Football Academy Stadium (Yerevan)


	BKMA Yerevan		Sardarapat

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.25	2.37
	2.85	3.3	2.12
	3.04	3.58	2.16
	2.61	3.44	2.42	Watch
	3.02	3.43	2.24	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.61)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BKMA Yerevan
32.4%

Draw
26.9%

Sardarapat
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.7%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

26.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BKMA Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sardarapat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BKMA Yerevan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sardarapat than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

BKMA Yerevan - Sardarapat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ghazaryan H. (G) 23. Asiryan M. 29. Askaryan A. 11. Davtyan D. 21. Dokhoyan D. 10. Harutyunyan D. 2. Khachatryan A. 14. Krmzyan P. 47. Manukyan H. 6. Petrosyan A. 13. Sargsyan H.	39. Matinyan G. (G) 77. Abrahamyan G. 10. Budagyan Y. 3. Doumbia V. 21. Galstyan S. 23. Hakobyan M. 22. Kochkanyan S. 8. Petrosyan L. 4. Sargsyan A. (C) 9. Vardanyan L. 25. Yann Lago C.
Substitutes
20. Ashikyan Z. 12. Davidov A. (G) 81. Ghukasyan H. 4. Harutyunyan S. 5. Hovakimyan K. 51. Kirakosyan S. 43. Manukyan A. 3. Movsesyan A. 8. Movsisyan S. 9. Petrosyan A.	13. Alabi S. 17. Ayunts T. 44. Danielyan A. 27. Davtyan J. 31. Gabrielyan V. (G) . Kirakosyan 5. Konate O. 28. Minasyan H. 11. Potinyan R. 19. Quinonez J. 30. Sargsyan V. (G) 14. Seri F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 🟨,
71', 🟥,
72', 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th and 5th).

In recent outings, BKMA has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sardarapat is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sardarapat may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sardarapat has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Sardarapat is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sardarapat	8	3	3	2	14:12	2	12
9	BKMA	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

BKMA Yerevan - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.44%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BKMA Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
11.09.26	Van - BKMA Yerevan	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	BKMA Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Gandzasar - BKMA Yerevan	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	BKMA Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWLL
- Sardarapat FC
Armenian Premier League
13.09.26	Sardarapat - Alashkert	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Sardarapat - Pyunik	2:4 ✺
06.09.26	Shirak Gyumri - Sardarapat	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sardarapat - Syunik	3:1 ✺
Armenian Cup
27.08.26	Sardarapat - Syunik	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLWL

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