Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Sports Centre de Bongerd (Barendrecht)


	BVV Barendrecht		HSV Hoek

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.8	1.95
	2.90	3.80	1.92
	2.82	4.10	1.99
	2.93	4.3	2.02	Watch
	2.70	4.00	1.94
	2.90	3.94	1.99	Watch
	2.95	3.95	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.09)	3.98 ↓ (4.08)	1.97 (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BVV Barendrecht
31.5%

Draw
22.6%

HSV Hoek
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

22.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

22.3%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BVV Barendrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

BVV Barendrecht - HSV Hoek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 3. de Graaf T. 7. Monster D. (C) 23. Hooreman F. 12. Schop C. 10. Fortes E. 24. Ouali R. 21. Mrowicki O. 9. Vugts B. 11. Serghini A.	1. Standaert M. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 16. Steenpoorte M. 24. Siereveld G. 5. de Nooijer Y. 14. Van Hauter R. (C) 18. Bouihrouchane H. 8. Brebels S. 7. Hebbelinck K. 23. Boere T. 10. Aelterman N.
Substitutes
26. Bakour M. 6. Bayram T. 16. El Mahdioui M. 30. Keehnen N. (G) 17. Kieboom J. 15. Rook K. 8. Stewart O.	17. Avoki P. 11. Bostdorp M. 22. Demuynck D. 19. Jalloh A. 4. Ketels L. 6. van Beveren J. 30. Van Damme S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Vugts B. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Monster D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Steenpoorte M. ↓, Jalloh A. ↑,
46', Hebbelinck K. ↓, Ketels L. ↑,
46', Van Hauter R. ↓, Bostdorp M. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Bostdorp M. ⚽, Aelterman N. (A),
60', Ouali R. ↓, Bakour M. ↑,
60', Vugts B. ↓, Rook K. ↑,
60', Schop C. ↓, Bayram T. ↑,
61', Mrowicki O. 🟨,
70', Serghini A. ↓, El Mahdioui M. ↑,
72', Boere T. ↓, Avoki P. ↑,
78', Bouihrouchane H. ↓, Van Daele C. ↑,
81', Mrowicki O. ↓, Kieboom J. ↑,
90', Kieboom J. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', Van Daele C. 🟨,

Preview

Barendrecht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hoek is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hoek could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barendrecht won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Barendrecht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Barendrecht	8	4	2	2	15:12	3	14
13	Hoek	8	2	3	3	11:13	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BVV Barendrecht
Dutch Tweede Divisie
05.09.26	Spakenburg - BVV Barendrecht	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	BVV Barendrecht - Katwijk	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Koninklijke HFC - BVV Barendrecht	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	BVV Barendrecht - HHC Hardenberg	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Poortugaal - BVV Barendrecht	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWLT
- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
05.09.26	RKAV Volendam - HSV Hoek	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	HSV Hoek - Spakenburg	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Katwijk - HSV Hoek	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	HSV Hoek - Koninklijke HFC	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	HSV Hoek - NAC Breda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
09.05.26	BVV Barendrecht - HSV Hoek	4:2
29.11.25	HSV Hoek - BVV Barendrecht	1:1

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