Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga Central - Round 27

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	Bad Gleichenberg		Union Gurten

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.8	1.31
	7.5	4.75	1.33
	6.48	5.25	1.33
	6.48	5.25	1.34
	6.5	4.8	1.35
	7.6	5.06	1.33
	5.4	4.4	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.74 ↑ (3.64)	4.9 ↑ (4.08)	1.35 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bad Gleichenberg
13.6%

Draw
18.7%

Union Gurten
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

22.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bad Gleichenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bad Gleichenberg's form might have worsened.

Union Gurten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Gurten's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bad Gleichenberg than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bad Gleichenberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Gurten than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Gurten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bad Gleichenberg - Union Gurten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Wendler P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Stuber-Hamm P. ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, Perger J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bad Gleichenberg won 2.

Recent matches Bad Gleichenberg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gurten is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Gurten is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bad Gleichenberg won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Bad Gleichenberg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Bad Gleichenberg
Austrian Regionalliga Central
11.05.24	Bad Gleichenberg - Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Deutschlandsberger - Bad Gleichenberg	5:1 ✺
26.04.24	Bad Gleichenberg - Allerheiligen	4:3 ✺
12.04.24	Bad Gleichenberg - ASK Klagenfurt	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Wolfsberger AC II - Bad Gleichenberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWW
- Union Gurten
Austrian Regionalliga Central
10.05.24	Gleisdorf - Union Gurten	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Union Gurten - Wallern-Marienkirchen	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	LASK II - Union Gurten	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Union Gurten - SC Weiz	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	SPG Wels - Union Gurten	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
13.10.23	Union Gurten - Bad Gleichenberg	3:1
31.03.23	Bad Gleichenberg - Union Gurten	5:0
19.08.22	Union Gurten - Bad Gleichenberg	1:1
10.06.22	Bad Gleichenberg - Union Gurten	1:4
09.08.19	Bad Gleichenberg - Union Gurten	3:1
12.04.19	Union Gurten - Bad Gleichenberg	1:4
01.09.18	Bad Gleichenberg - Union Gurten	3:1

Bad Gleichenberg - Union Gurten: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide