The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Badalona 33%
Draw 28%
Real Sociedad 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.4%
25.1%
55.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
20.2%
44.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badalona's performance.
Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badalona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Badalona - Real Sociedad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lopez M. (G) 16. Pinillos I. 23. Cubedo C. 3. Pujadas B. 4. Majarin S. (C) 14. Requena L. 6. Losada V. 22. Martinez L. 11. Julve E. 17. Sanchez P. 7. Uribe I.
13. Arrula J. (G) 7. Camino 4. Aparicio N. 2. Florentino C. 3. Vicente A. 22. Cahynova K. 5. Fernandez P. 8. Marin Martin A. 14. Eguiguren I. 11. Marcos C. 10. Eizaguirre N. (C)
Substitutes
5. Carmona N. 25. Font M. (G) 9. Guijarro S. 8. Kalu C. 10. Llompart Pons M. 19. Navarro L. 20. Uria Gabilondo M.
19. Aparicio A. 20. Campo A. 26. Chacon C. 6. Laborde E. 17. Maren 30. Mendiburu M. (G) 18. Seelenfreund A.
Coaches
Ballester M.
Alvarez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Lopez M. 🟥,
37', Julve E. ↓, Font M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Marcos C. ↓, Chacon C. ↑,
66', Eizaguirre N. ↓, Campo A. ↑,
67', Sanchez P. ↓, Guijarro S. ↑,
68', Losada V. ↓, Llompart Pons M. ↑,
78', Camino ↓, Aparicio A. ↑,
86', Uribe I. ↓, Uria Gabilondo M. ↑,
86', Fernandez P. ↓, Seelenfreund A. ↑,
86', Requena L. ↓, Kalu C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 1.
In recent outings, Badalona has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Real Sociedad has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, Badalona has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Badalona has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:13 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Badalona against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Badalona W
6
2
2
2
9:8
1
8
15
Real Sociedad W
6
1
2
3
7:11
-4
5
Last Results with these Odds
Real Sociedad - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 55.45%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Lopez M. (G) 
Cahynova K. 
Kalu C. 
Mendiburu M. (G) 
Seelenfreund A. 
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