Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Badalona		Vilanova

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.30	4.80
	1.48	3.45	5.50
	1.68	3.57	4.60
	1.52	3.83	5.9	Watch
	1.66	3.50	4.55
	1.66	3.61	4.90
	1.60	3.55	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.48)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	4.97 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona
56.3%

Draw
25.5%

Vilanova
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

25.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

26.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Vilanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Badalona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Badalona - Vilanova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Badalona has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vilanova is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Badalona may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Badalona is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Badalona has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Badalona against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CF Vilanova	8	3	4	1	10:9	1	13
10	CF Badalona	8	3	2	3	13:10	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.10.26	Tona - Badalona	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Badalona - San Cristóbal	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Vilassar de Mar - Badalona	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Badalona - Montañesa	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.09.26	Badalona - Sestao	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL
- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
27.09.26	Pobla de Mafumet - Vilanova	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Vilanova - Peralada	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Mollerussa - Vilanova	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vilanova - LHospitalet	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.26	Terrassa - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
22.03.26	Badalona - Vilanova	3:0
08.11.25	Vilanova - Badalona	2:1

Badalona - Vilanova