The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baden 40.7%
Draw 26%
Vevey 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
26.2%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
25.1%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Vevey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baden than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vevey than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Baden - Vevey Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mazzeo M. (G) 2. Kunz S. 5. Monney T. 4. Fazlic E. 16. Suter F. 7. Romano D. 3. Sadrijaj A. 6. Kasongo S. 13. Iodice K. 28. Lewis O. 10. Giampa D. (C)
1. Grivot N. (C) 22. Diaz T. 32. Zuvic F. 88. Doumbia S. 71. Louisius M. 18. Aguilar J. 8. Charveys A. 77. Iyeti R. 11. Mobulu R. 99. Khiari A. 10. Eleouet A.
Substitutes
14. Brack J. 9. Gjidoda P. 44. Kalt J. 11. Morina A. 29. Vukasinovic V. 30. Zalokar S. (G) 19. Zivkovic N.
83. Alaoui S. 87. Baddy Dega S. 17. Batbout N. 31. Fohouo M. (G) 24. Kolua H. 3. Rodrigues M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Mobulu R. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Mobulu R. ⚽,
25', 0 - 3, Mobulu R. ⚽,
38', Diaz T. 🟨,
40', Kasongo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Fazlic E. ↓, Morina A. ↑,
46', Lewis O. ↓, Gjidoda P. ↑,
49', 1 - 3, Gjidoda P. ⚽,
56', 1 - 4, Khiari A. ⚽,
57', 1 - 5, Khiari A. ⚽,
65', Monney T. ↓, Kalt J. ↑,
65', Giampa D. ↓, Zivkovic N. ↑,
67', Charveys A. ↓, Baddy Dega S. ↑,
71', Eleouet A. 🟨,
77', 2 - 5, Kasongo S. ⚽,
78', Khiari A. ↓, Batbout N. ↑,
78', Iyeti R. ↓, Kolua H. ↑,
79', Kunz S. ↓, Brack J. ↑,
86', Eleouet A. ↓, Alaoui S. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
Recent matches Baden is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Vevey is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Baden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.