Match Info

CONCACAF Nations League - League C

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Bethlehem Soccer Stadium (Upper Bethlehem)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Concacaf GO


	Bahamas		United States Virgin Islands

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.73	Watch
	3.90	4.10	1.61
	3.95	3.85	1.62
	4.03	4.06	1.75
	4.53	4.36	1.61
	3.95	4	1.65
	4.22	3.91	1.74	Watch
	3.9	3.95	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (26.25)	4.02 ↓ (11.33)	1.67 ↑ (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahamas
22.4%

Draw
22.8%

United States Virgin Islands
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.5%

8.1%

88.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahamas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahamas's performance.

United States Virgin Islands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and United States Virgin Islands might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bahamas - United States Virgin Islands Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. US Virgin Islands will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. US Virgin Islands (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - US Virgin Islands (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Bahamas (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahamas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). US Virgin Islands (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lowe I. (G) 12. Cooper P. 16. Carroll L. 17. Chemaly O. 7. Carey Q. Gold Star FC 2. Wells N. 5. Bayles W. 20. Bain O. 8. Rahming C. M. (C) 10. Joseph M. SoccerViza 11. Adderley B. TFA Willamette	1. Ramos D. (G) Savannah Clovers 2. Blaschka J. 16. Bartsch A. 14. Farrell Q. 5. Shaffer A. Menace 9. Joseph R. Parham 7. Griffith C. 11. Ramos J. Chattanooga Red Wolves 20. Henry N. 19. Liburd J. (C) 8. Bass C.
Substitutes
18. Butler M. (G) 4. Ene R. 15. Ferguson C. 13. Hall H. 9. Julmis P. 6. Massey M. 3. Roberts A. 1. Wheaton V. (G)	17. Aubin A. 15. Bell D. 21. Catone-Highfield G. 6. Elizee Y. 4. Harris Z. 12. McGuiness R. 13. Royer K. 23. Terrence J. J. (G) 18. Whelan J. (G)
Coaches
Noel-Williams G.	Jones Sr. T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Henry N. ⚽, Liburd J. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Chemaly O. (Own goal),
36', Cooper P. 🟨,
45', Joseph R. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bain O. ↓, Massey M. ↑,
46', Carey Q. ↓, Julmis P. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Henry N. ⚽,
57', Farrell Q. 🟨,
58', 1 - 3, Bayles W. ⚽,
65', Bass C. ↓, Harris Z. ↑,
65', Henry N. ↓, Catone-Highfield G. ↑,
67', Julmis P. 🟨,
78', Carroll L. ↓, Ene R. ↑,
78', Liburd J. ↓, Royer K. ↑,
83', Ene R. 🟨,
90+1', Griffith C. ↓, Aubin A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Julmis P. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Bahamas is ranked FIFA: 207., and US Virgin Islands is ranked FIFA: 208..

US Virgin Islands may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to US Virgin Islands as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bahamas has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 3:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahamas
CONCACAF Nations League
23.09.26	Bahamas - Saint Martin	0:8 ✺
CONCACAF Series
29.03.26	Cayman Islands - Bahamas	1:0 ✺
26.03.26	Bahamas - Anguilla	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Bahamas - British Virgin Islands	0:6 ✺
12.11.25	Bahamas - Anguilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- United States Virgin Islands
CONCACAF Nations League
01.10.26	United States Virgin Islands - Saint Martin	0:5 ✺
26.09.26	Saint Martin - United States Virgin Islands	0:2 ✺
FIFA Series
28.03.26	Puerto Rico - United States Virgin Islands	2:0
Friendly
14.11.25	Grenada - United States Virgin Islands	4:1 ✺
13.08.25	United States Virgin Islands - Turks and Caicos	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
12.10.24	Bahamas - United States Virgin Islands	3:1
04.09.24	United States Virgin Islands - Bahamas	3:3

Bahamas - United States Virgin Islands: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide