Match Info

Division 2 A - Round 18

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: El Mahalla Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)


	Baladeyet El Mahalla		Aswan

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.52	3.2
	2.15	2.63	4.05
	2.63	2.5	2.9
	2.29	2.66	3.47
	2.45	2.57	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.07)	2.58 ↓ (2.75)	3.4 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baladeyet El Mahalla
37.9%

Draw
35.3%

Aswan
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

33%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

32.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baladeyet El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baladeyet El Mahalla's form might have worsened.

Aswan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baladeyet El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baladeyet El Mahalla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Baladeyet El Mahalla - Aswan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Aswan (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aswan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, El Sabahi M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Haitham A. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Joshua O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Baladeyet El Mahalla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aswan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Baladeyet El Mahalla has had a series of away games.

Baladeyet El Mahalla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baladeyet El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Baladeyet El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Baladiyat El Mahalla	7	2	2	3	7:7	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baladeyet El Mahalla
Egyptian Cup
28.12.25	Zamalek - Baladeyet El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Division 2 A
20.12.25	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	El Mansoura - Baladeyet El Mahalla	1:3 ✺
28.11.25	Baladeyet El Mahalla - El Dakhleya	1:1 ✺
20.11.25	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWTL
- Aswan SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
26.12.25	Aswan - Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	El Dakhleya - Aswan	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Aswan - Olympic El Qanah	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Masar - Aswan	0:0 ✺
20.11.25	Aswan - El Sekka El Hadid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
23.08.25	Aswan - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:2
05.04.25	Aswan - Baladeyet El Mahalla	0:0
25.11.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Aswan	1:0

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