Match Info

Division 2 A - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: El Mahalla Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)


	Baladeyet El Mahalla		Ghazl Kafr El Dawar

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.98	4.85
	1.8	3.12	4.65
	1.85	2.9	4.33
	1.75	2.94	5.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)	4.78 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baladeyet El Mahalla
50.2%

Draw
30.7%

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

29.4%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baladeyet El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baladeyet El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baladeyet El Mahalla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Baladeyet El Mahalla - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Joshua O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Abdelbary I. S. A. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Joshua O. ⚽,
88', 4 - 0, Joshua O. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Baladeyet El Mahalla is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Baladeyet El Mahalla is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baladeyet El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Baladeyet El Mahalla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Baladiyat El Mahalla	7	2	2	3	7:7	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baladeyet El Mahalla
Egyptian Division 2 A
10.04.26	Olympic El Qanah - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Tersana	1:0 ✺
26.03.26	Masar - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Baladeyet El Mahalla - La Viena	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	El Sekka El Hadid - Baladeyet El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
Egyptian Division 2 A
10.04.26	Tersana - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - La Viena	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	WE SC - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Dayrout	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Proxy - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
20.11.25	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:1
14.04.25	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Baladeyet El Mahalla	0:1
08.12.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	0:1

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