The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Balcatta 10.8%
Draw 18.6%
Perth RedStar 70.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
23.4%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.2%
22.9%
56.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Balcatta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Balcatta's form might have worsened.
Perth RedStar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perth RedStar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balcatta than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Balcatta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth RedStar than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perth RedStar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Balcatta - Perth RedStar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
74', 1 - 3, ⚽,
83', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone NPL Western Australia (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balcatta won 0.
Balcatta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Perth RedStar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Perth RedStar is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Balcatta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 25:47. (average 1.3:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Balcatta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.8:2.1).