Match Info

Primera Federacion Women - Round 23

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Baleares		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	3.08	3.32	2.17	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.16
	2.44	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.44)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.28 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baleares
31.7%

Draw
28.2%

Atlético Madrid B
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baleares's form might have worsened.

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baleares than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baleares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Baleares - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Mendez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
76', 2 - 0, Pomer N. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Baleares has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Madrid B is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Madrid B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baleares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
23.03.25	Deportivo Alavés - Baleares	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Getafe - Baleares	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Baleares - Osasuna	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Logroño United - Baleares	4:1 ✺
16.02.25	Baleares - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Atlético Madrid B Féminas
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
22.03.25	Atlético Madrid B - Getafe	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alhama	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Real Madrid B - Atlético Madrid B	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Atlético Madrid B - Fundación Albacete	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
16.11.24	Atlético Madrid B - Baleares	4:3

Baleares - Atlético Madrid B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide