Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 26

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu (Balikesir)


	Balikesirspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	6.75	3.9	1.41
	5.6	3.7	1.45
	7	4.25	1.41
	7.1	4.33	1.4
	6.6	4.1	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↑ (4.86)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	1.42 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balikesirspor
13.7%

Draw
22.4%

Kocaelispor
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

24%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balikesirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kocaelispor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balikesirspor than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kocaelispor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Balikesirspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig).

Balikesirspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kocaelispor in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Balikesirspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Balikesirspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balikesirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.03.23	Ankara Demirspor - Balikesirspor	3:1 ✺
04.02.23	Etimesgut - Balikesirspor	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Balikesirspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Balikesirspor	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Balikesirspor - Iskenderunspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLLT
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.03.23	Kocaelispor - Uşakspor	3:0 ✺
04.02.23	Kocaelispor - Sarıyer	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Serik Belediyespor - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Kocaelispor - Kırşehir	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Kırklarelispor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
01.10.22	Kocaelispor - Balikesirspor	3:0
Turkish First League
12.02.22	Balikesirspor - Kocaelispor	1:2
16.09.21	Kocaelispor - Balikesirspor	3:1

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