Match Info

3. Lig Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu (Balikesir)


	Balikesirspor		Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.15	3.5
	2.31	2.86	3.29
	2.46	2.94	2.93	Watch
	2.49	3.21	2.72	Watch
	2.1	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.69)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	3.19 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balikesirspor
40.5%

Draw
30.3%

Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

28.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balikesirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Balikesirspor's form might have worsened.

Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balikesirspor than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Balikesirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Balikesirspor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Balikesirspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Akcakin A. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Koylu K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Balikesirspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mazıdağı is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mazıdağı may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Balikesirspor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Balikesirspor is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Balikesirspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Balikesirspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balikesirspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
26.04.25	Balikesirspor - Türk Metal Kırıkkale Spor	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	İnegöl Kafkas - Balikesirspor	4:0 ✺
02.04.25	Balikesirspor - Yeni Amasyaspor	1:1 ✺
26.03.25	Balikesirspor - Beykoz İshaklı	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Balikesirspor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTWL
- Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
09.05.25	Silivrispor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor	1:2 penalties ✺
30.04.25	Yeni Amasyaspor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor	0:3 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
26.04.25	Muğlaspor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor	0:3 ✺
20.04.25	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Nevşehir Belediyespor	9:0 ✺
13.04.25	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Silivrispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
22.03.25	Balikesirspor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor	1:2
10.11.24	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Balikesirspor	1:0

Balikesirspor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide