Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu (Balikesir) 🌤️ ...


	Balikesirspor		Nazillispor

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.7	11.5
	1.30	4.94	8.43	Watch
	1.2	7.61	8.62
	1.3	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	5.75 ↑ (4.5)	9.01 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balikesirspor
73.7%

Draw
16%

Nazillispor
10.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.4%

20%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

12%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balikesirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Nazillispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balikesirspor than the current prediction. (-31.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Balikesirspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nazillispor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nazillispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Balikesirspor - Nazillispor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Balikesirspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Yilmaz B. ⚽, Gayla A. (A),
64', 2 - 0, Gundogdu H. ⚽, Gayla A. (A),
88', 3 - 0, Uzun E. (Own goal),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Balikesirspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nazillispor has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nazillispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Balikesirspor is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balikesirspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
26.10.25	Izmir Çoruhlu - Balikesirspor	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Balikesirspor - Afjet Afyonspor	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Balikesirspor - Kutahyaspor	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Karşıyaka - Balikesirspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Balikesirspor - Yalova FK 77 SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWTLL
- Nazillispor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
18.10.25	Karşıyaka - Nazillispor	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Nazillispor - Tire 2021	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Söke 1970 - Nazillispor	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Nazillispor - Bornova	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Eskişehirspor - Nazillispor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balikesirspor
Turkish Cup
28.10.26	Balikesirspor - Arnavutköy	✺

Balikesirspor - Nazillispor