Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 20

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Balkan		Karlshamn

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	2.5
	2.2	3.8	2.68
	2.16	3.87	2.61
	2.21	3.91	2.68	Watch
	2.17	4.03	2.69
	2.3	3.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.33)	3.85 ↓ (4)	2.59 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balkan
41.3%

Draw
23.6%

Karlshamn
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

22.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

22.8%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balkan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Karlshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balkan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlshamn than the current prediction. (+3%)

Balkan - Karlshamn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Hakansson O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Balkan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karlshamn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balkan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Balkan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Balkan
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
31.08.25	Balkan - Karlskrona	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Växjö Norra - Balkan	5:0 ✺
16.08.25	Räppe GoIF - Balkan	3:1 ✺
11.08.25	Balkan - IFK Trelleborg	2:2 ✺
01.08.25	IFK Hässleholm - Balkan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- IFK Karlshamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
31.08.25	Karlshamn - Linero	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Österlen - Karlshamn	1:3 ✺
15.08.25	Karlshamn - Växjö Norra	0:0 ✺
08.08.25	Karlshamn - Räppe GoIF	4:3 ✺
03.08.25	IFK Trelleborg - Karlshamn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
12.04.25	Karlshamn - Balkan	1:1
12.10.24	Balkan - Karlshamn	2:3
15.06.24	Karlshamn - Balkan	2:1
20.10.21	Balkan - Karlshamn	1:0
31.07.21	Karlshamn - Balkan	0:1

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