The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ballkani 35.2%
Draw 30.6%
Drita Gjilan 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
28.6%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
27.8%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ballkani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ballkani's form might have worsened.
Drita Gjilan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Drita Gjilan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballkani than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ballkani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Drita Gjilan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ballkani - Drita Gjilan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, Krasniqi Be. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 4th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballkani won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ballkani holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ballkani has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:24 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ballkani against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:11 goals (averaging 1.7:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Drita
8
4
2
2
9:6
3
14
6
FC Ballkani
9
4
1
4
10:9
1
13
Last Results with these Odds
Ballkani - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.