The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Malisheva 40.1%
Draw 26.9%
Ballkani 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
28.5%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
28.9%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malisheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Ballkani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malisheva than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballkani than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Malisheva - Ballkani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Berisha A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Ibishi D. (Own goal),
87', 2 - 1, Bushaj M. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malisheva won 2.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Malisheva has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:41 (averaging 1.2:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Malisheva against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 13:24 goals (averaging 1.3:2.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Malisheva
8
6
1
1
20:6
14
19
3
FC Ballkani
8
4
1
3
10:8
2
13
Last Results with these Odds
Malisheva - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.