Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Balmaseda		Santutxu

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.25
	1.98	3.1	3.1
	1.98	3.05	3.55
	2.07	3.24	3.7
	2.02	3.18	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.4)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	3.44 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balmaseda
45.1%

Draw
28.6%

Santutxu
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

20.2%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balmaseda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Balmaseda's performance.

Santutxu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santutxu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balmaseda than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Balmaseda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santutxu than the current prediction. (+21.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santutxu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Balmaseda - Santutxu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 4 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 4 (Second stage)).

Balmaseda is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santutxu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santutxu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Balmaseda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Balmaseda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balmaseda FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.12.20	Balmaseda - Sestao	1:3 ✺
05.12.20	Balmaseda - Real Sociedad C	2:2 ✺
28.11.20	Gernika - Balmaseda	5:0 ✺
07.11.20	Balmaseda - Beasain	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
21.10.20	Balmaseda - Tropezón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- Santutxu FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.12.20	Santutxu - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Santutxu - Somorrostro	2:1 ✺
25.11.20	Santutxu - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
18.11.20	Gernika - Santutxu	4:0 ✺
25.10.20	Santutxu - Sestao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.09.19	Santutxu - Balmaseda	0:2
24.03.19	Santutxu - Balmaseda	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.12.17	Santutxu - Balmaseda	1:2

Balmaseda - Santutxu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide