Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Balmaseda		Somorrostro

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	1.96	3.05	3.2
	1.93	3.1	3.7
	1.96	3.2	3.81
	2.02	3.2	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balmaseda
45.9%

Draw
28.8%

Somorrostro
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balmaseda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Somorrostro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balmaseda than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Balmaseda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somorrostro than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Somorrostro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Balmaseda - Somorrostro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 4 (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 4 (Relegation Group)).

Balmaseda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Somorrostro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Balmaseda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Balmaseda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Balmaseda won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balmaseda FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.03.21	Santutxu - Balmaseda	1:0 ✺
28.02.21	Real Sociedad C - Balmaseda	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Balmaseda - Gernika	0:0 ✺
10.02.21	Balmaseda - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:1 ✺
06.02.21	Balmaseda - Deusto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTTLL
- JD Somorrostro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.03.21	Somorrostro - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:2 ✺
06.03.21	Urgatzi - Somorrostro	1:0 ✺
06.02.21	Somorrostro - Real Sociedad C	1:2 ✺
30.01.21	Gernika - Somorrostro	2:0 ✺
27.01.21	Somorrostro - Beasain	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.08.19	Somorrostro - Balmaseda	0:1
12.10.18	Somorrostro - Balmaseda	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.03.18	Somorrostro - Balmaseda	2:2

Balmaseda - Somorrostro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide