The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baltika 2 60.6%
Draw 20.8%
Cherepovets 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.4%
21.2%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
20.3%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-1%)
Baltika 2 - Cherepovets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Mikhaylovskiy R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
58', 0 - 2, Usanov A. ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, Khalygov E. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Slavin R. ⚽,
86', 1 - 4, Balashov A. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd and 9th).
Baltika 2 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cherepovets is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cherepovets may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Baltika 2 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Baltika 2 in today's match, at odds of 1.51.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Baltika 2 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Baltika 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.