Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Baltika 2		Iskra Smolensk

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.2	6.08
	1.42	3.8	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4 ↓ (4.15)	6.21 ↑ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika 2
63.1%

Draw
22.5%

Iskra Smolensk
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.9%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

20.1%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika 2 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baltika 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Stepanov K. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Makarov D. (Penalty Awarded),
21', 2 - 1, Korzhakov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 3 - 1, Nikishin K. ⚽,
82', 4 - 1, Kiselev D. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 11).

In recent matches, Baltika 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Iskra is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Baltika 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baltika 2 is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baltika 2	25	13	4	8	44:32	12	43
11	Iskra Smolensk	25	6	6	13	24:47	-23	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
03.05.26	Murom - Baltika 2	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Baltika 2 - Luki-Energiya	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Baltika 2	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Baltika 2 - Torpedo Vladimir	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Irkutsk - Baltika 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWT
- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
02.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Yenisey 2	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chertanovo - Iskra Smolensk	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Iskra Smolensk - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Iskra Smolensk	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Iskra Smolensk - Cherepovets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL

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