Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday


	Baltika 2		Krasava Odintsovo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.7	1.82
	3.1	3.6	1.95
	3.35	3.75	1.78
	3.4	3.89	1.78
	3.2	3.5	1.95
	3.9	3.9	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.14)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	1.84 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika 2
26.6%

Draw
24.2%

Krasava Odintsovo
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

20.1%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Krasava Odintsovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika 2 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasava Odintsovo than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasava Odintsovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baltika 2 - Krasava Odintsovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion).

Baltika 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Krasava is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krasava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Krasava have a series of guest games.

Krasava will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baltika 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika 2
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
30.09.21	Kairat Moscow - Baltika 2	1:3 ✺
26.09.21	Baltika 2 - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Zenit 2 - Baltika 2	2:1 ✺
14.09.21	Baltika 2 - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
30.08.21	Baltika 2 - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLL
- Krasava Odintsovo
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
26.09.21	Leningradets - Krasava Odintsovo	2:1 ✺
18.09.21	Chita - Krasava Odintsovo	1:2 ✺
10.09.21	Kairat Moscow - Krasava Odintsovo	3:2 ✺
04.09.21	Krasava Odintsovo - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	2:0 ✺
30.08.21	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Krasava Odintsovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
07.08.21	Krasava Odintsovo - Baltika 2	2:0

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