Match Info

Youth League - Round 10

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Baltika U19		Rubin Kazan U19

	1	X	2
	4.62	3.32	1.77
	4.2	3.45	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.4)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika U19
20.9%

Draw
27.3%

Rubin Kazan U19
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

29.1%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

28.6%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Rubin Kazan U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika U19 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan U19 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
51', 🟥,
52', 0 - 1, Weisbain I. (Own goal),
56', 1 - 1, Stepanov K. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Kuznetsov A. ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, Khairullin B. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, Sagalbaev A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Baltika U19 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Rubin U19 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Rubin U19 is considered a favorite.

We predict that Rubin U19 will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baltika U19 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Baltika U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika U19
Russian Youth League
12.05.25	Krasnodar U19 - Baltika U19	8:2 ✺
02.05.25	Baltika U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	1:4 ✺
25.04.25	Spartak Moscow U19 - Baltika U19	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Baltika U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	1:5 ✺
11.04.25	Ural U19 - Baltika U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rubin Kazan U19
Russian Youth League
09.05.25	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Rubin Kazan U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	0:4 ✺
25.04.25	Konoplev Academy U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Rubin Kazan U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Dynamo Moscow U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
02.08.24	Rubin Kazan U19 - Baltika U19	0:1
10.05.24	Baltika U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	1:0
21.07.23	Rubin Kazan U19 - Baltika U19	1:0

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