The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Banfield 62%
Draw 23.4%
Newells Old Boys 14.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
25.9%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
23.6%
15.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Banfield - Newells Old Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', 2 - 0, ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd and 16th).
Banfield has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Newells Old Boys has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Newells Old Boys may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Banfield as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Banfield has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Banfield against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.