The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Banfield 2 28.2%
Draw 28.9%
Lanús 2 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
30.6%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
29.9%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Lanús 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield 2 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (-2%)
Banfield 2 - Lanús 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟥,
69', 1 - 0, Acosta J. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banfield 2 won 2.
In recent matches, Banfield 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lanús 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Lanús 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lanús 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Banfield 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Banfield 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Lanús 2 - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.