Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 11

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Banga Gargždai 2		Ekranas

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.72
	4	3.75	1.72	Watch
	3.68	3.81	1.72
	3.68	3.81	1.73
	3.99	4.29	1.65
	3.7	3.9	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (2.78)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	1.71 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai 2
24%

Draw
23.2%

Ekranas
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

23.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

22.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banga Gargždai 2's form might have worsened.

Ekranas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekranas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banga Gargždai 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekranas than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ekranas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Banga Gargždai 2 - Ekranas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 17. Andrejev M. 77. Balasanov A. 44. Galbuogis G. 86. Kasperavicius P. 14. Kirjanov E. 97. Luza A. 81. Praleika S. 87. Simkus N. 11. Smulkys E. 20. Toleikis K. (C)	1. Simkevicius D. (G) 27. Berte M. 22. Chachlauskas I. 13. Ezerskis M. 33. Hevlych T. 8. Jokubonis R. 81. Obalola A. 15. Petrauskas D. 5. Rudenko Y. 23. Temitayo E. 19. Zabarauskas M. (C)
Substitutes
57. Ambrazaitis M. 53. Juozapavicius J. 80. Juska B. 45. Laugalys R. 61. Rusteika E. 50. Sakinis A. 25. Skruibys M. 43. Statkus A. 27. Straksys A. 54. Urbonas N. (G)	10. Bidenko Y. 99. Chaplanov D. 20. Gerasimovas E. 21. Jasikonis J. 91. Kvedaras G. (G) 11. Ryoki I. 79. Savenas P. 4. Skinderis J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', 🟨,
67', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Banga 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ekranas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ekranas is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Banga 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Banga 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
18.05.24	BFA Vilnius - Banga Gargždai 2	2:2 ✺
13.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - FA Šiauliai B	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Riteriai - Banga Gargždai 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLLLT
- Ekranas
Lithuanian Division 2
19.05.24	Ekranas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Riteriai - Ekranas	3:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ekranas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Nevėžis - Ekranas	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Ekranas - Neptūnas	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
30.10.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Ekranas	2:4
24.06.22	Ekranas - Banga Gargždai 2	4:0

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