Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Bangkok United		Kitchee

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.6	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.48	5	6
	1.49	5	5.64
	1.4	4.4	5.8
	1.47	4.65	6	Watch
	1.49	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.32)	4.64 ↓ (5.04)	5.72 ↓ (8.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangkok United
63.5%

Draw
20.2%

Kitchee
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

18.4%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

17.6%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangkok United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangkok United's form might have worsened.

Kitchee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangkok United than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangkok United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kitchee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Bangkok United - Kitchee Predictions

Users Predictions: Bangkok United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khammai P. (G) 6. Selanon N. 26. Thongsong S. 3. Everton (C) 2. Notchaiya P. 19. Srinawong C. 39. Anan P. 8. Imura W. 17. Mhuaddarak T. 29. Willen 93. Eid Mahmoud	86. Paulo Cesar (G) 2. Law Tsz-Chun 5. Jose de Souza Goncalves H. (C) 26. Russell A. 4. Scott C. 99. Poon P. 10. Cleiton 95. Chan Shinichi 7. Mingazov R. 89. Jantscher J. 17. Mikael
Substitutes
7. Amornlerdsak A. 4. Bihr M. 24. Jarunongkran W. 10. Jradi B. Z. 34. Mekmusik W. (G) 51. Nontharath K. 20. Pombuppha C. 94. Soukouna A. 52. Suadsong S. (G) 21. Tapsuvanavona C. 96. Thepwong B. 5. Wannasri P. 81. Wongboon N. (G)	15. Beto 28. Cheng C. 77. Fernando 18. Gerbig O. 19. Huang Yang 9. Kim Shin-Wook 16. Tan C. 1. Wang Z. (G)
Coaches
Sripan T.	Kim Dong-Jin

Preview

Bangkok United in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kitchee is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Kitchee have a series of home games.

In this match Bangkok United is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bangkok United to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bangkok United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangkok United
Thai League 1
04.11.23	Thai Port - Bangkok United	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Bangkok United - Ratchaburi	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.10.23	Kitchee - Bangkok United	1:2 ✺
Thai League 1
08.10.23	Bangkok United - Chiangrai United	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.10.23	Bangkok United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW
- Kitchee FC
Hong Kong Senior Shield
04.11.23	Kitchee - Resources Capital	7:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
29.10.23	Kitchee - Sham Shui Po	5:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.10.23	Kitchee - Bangkok United	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Kitchee - Lion City Sailors	1:2 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
24.09.23	Kitchee - Hong Kong Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
25.10.23	Kitchee - Bangkok United	1:2

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