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Current Win Probability
Baník Most-Souš 70.9%
Draw 17.7%
Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí 11.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
20.9%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.4%
20%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Most-Souš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baník Most-Souš's performance.
Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Most-Souš than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baník Most-Souš that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Baník Most Souš - Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Patka M. (G) 19. Cihak J. 21. Horvath P. 8. Kratky M. (C) 15. Light E. 14. Novicky O. 7. Podzimek O. 22. Radba A. 17. Rjaska M. 16. Tomsik J. 18. Vlasak A.
30. Jerabek M. (G) 19. Akumagoa K. 12. Cada D. 4. Chleboun P. (C) 18. Gazha O. 21. Hoffman F. 7. Hrncir T. 3. Langer P. 10. Langr L. 8. Ralis D. 9. Taborsky M.
Substitutes
23. Hadinec M. 10. Kopriva J. 24. Kubes M. 9. Latifaj J. 6. Sedlak V. 20. Smrkovsky V. (G) 12. Zorna R.
6. Hynek T. 20. Jarkovsky M. 2. Jerabek M. (G) 5. Shyti K. 14. Tchanturia P. 1. Zarecky L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Ralis D. 🟨,
21', Cihak J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', Jerabek M. 🟨,
83', Hrncir T. 🟨,
90+2', Shyti K. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).
Baník Most-Souš is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ústí nad Orlicí is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Baník Most-Souš is the clear favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baník Most-Souš won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Baník Most-Souš won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.