The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baník Most-Souš 49.6%
Draw 24.4%
Varnsdorf 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.9%
23.6%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
23.4%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Most-Souš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Varnsdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Most-Souš than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Baník Most Souš - Varnsdorf Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Smrkovsky V. (G) 19. Cihak J. 21. Horvath P. 10. Kopriva J. 13. Kytka M. 24. Leibl M. 14. Novicky O. (C) 7. Podzimek O. 22. Radba A. 17. Rjaska M. 16. Tomsik J.
1. Roze V. (G) 16. Ahile T. 15. Boryshpolets S. 12. Emmer J. 17. Gavrylyuk N. 3. Hora J. 13. Hudak J. 6. Jandac L. 20. Kovbasa A. 2. Sokol J. 4. Tymoshenko I. (C)
Substitutes
23. Hadinec M. 8. Kratky M. 9. Kubes M. 3. Musa A. 1. Vitasek D. (G) 15. Vlcek P. 12. Zorna R.
9. Berezka D. 18. Grafek D. 24. Lopez M. 22. Pechenyi N. 5. Pinchuk Y. 33. Shnurko D. (G) 11. Sirenko O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Leibl M. ↓, Musa A. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Tomsik J. ⚽,
32', Kovbasa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hora J. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
69', Boryshpolets S. ↓, Berezka D. ↑,
71', Jandac L. 🟨,
75', Cihak J. 🟨,
78', Podzimek O. ↓, Kubes M. ↑,
79', Emmer J. ↓, Pechenyi N. ↑,
83', Tomsik J. 🟨,
89', Rjaska M. ↓, Zorna R. ↑,
89', Horvath P. ↓, Hadinec M. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Most-Souš won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Baník Most-Souš (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Varnsdorf have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Varnsdorf could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Varnsdorf has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Baník Most-Souš is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Baník Most-Souš has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:15 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Baník Most-Souš against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:7 goals (averaging 2.3:1.2 per game).
Watch
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Smrkovsky V. (G) 
Roze V. (G) 
Ahile T. 
Musa A. 
Lopez M. 
Pechenyi N. 
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