Match Info

CONCACAF Nations League - League B

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Daren Sammy Cricket Ground (Gros Islet)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Concacaf GO


	Barbados		Saint Lucia

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.50	2.05	Watch
	3.00	3.30	2.05
	3.20	3.55	1.91	Watch
	3.30	3.47	2.10
	3.2	3.43	2.07
	3.25	3.30	2.06
	3.10	3.62	2.12	Watch
	2.90	3.45	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.51)	3.45 ↑ (3.15)	2.06 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbados
29.2%

Draw
26.4%

Saint Lucia
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barbados's form might have worsened.

Saint Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint Lucia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.7%	93.3%

Barbados - Saint Lucia Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Saint Lucia will win (votes: 28 - 93.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint Lucia: 84.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint Lucia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Saint Lucia (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Saint Lucia (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - St Lucia (2.10) (votes: 80%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint Lucia (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Blackman J. (G) Morecambe 20. Bailey-Edwards T. 4. Williams M. 14. Banton A. 22. Applewhite Z. Sparta Selemet 8. Leacock O. Waterhouse 5. Neblett J. Weymouth Wales 3. Applewhaite A. (C) CT United FC 10. Reid-Stephen N. New Mexico 19. Griffith C. Portland Timbers 11. Gale T. Bolton	1. Barclett V. (G) Cavalier 3. Jouis A. 5. Lionel D. 4. Thomas T. (C) 2. Frederick K. W Connection 6. Doxilly M. Mount Pleasant 19. Byron S. Mount Pleasant 8. Joseph L. Grenades 21. President G. 9. Noel Y. 14. Elva C. Cavalry
Substitutes
16. Bourne R. 2. Clarke R. 12. Gilkes J. 23. Gollop J. 6. Hoyte S. Paradise SC 9. James T. Varazdin 13. King D. St Andrew Lions 18. Malcolm J. A. (G) 7. Oughterson J. 15. Prescod S. 17. Thorne D.	11. Augustin D. MKS Pogon Prudnik 10. Caull K. Montego Bay 23. Donaie D. (G) Molynes United 17. Edward B. 22. Edward D. 20. Hippolyte A. 18. Nelson S. 13. Reggie G. 15. Sandiford B. 12. Similien J. 16. St. Prix D. (G) 7. St. Romain M. La Clery
Coaches
Hall K.	Latchoo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gale T. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Byron S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Gale T. 🟨,
57', Noel Y. ↓, Caull K. ↑,
57', Joseph L. ↓, Augustin D. ↑,
64', Applewhite Z. 🟨,
67', Griffith C. ↓, James T. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽, Gale T. (A),
84', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Bourne R. ↑,
84', Neblett J. ↓, Gilkes J. ↑,
84', Gale T. ↓, Oughterson J. ↑,
84', President G. ↓, St. Romain M. ↑,
85', Doxilly M. ↓, Reggie G. ↑,
90', Gilkes J. 🟨,
90+2', Byron S. ↓, Edward D. ↑,

Preview

Barbados is ranked FIFA: 179., and Saint Lucia is ranked FIFA: 166..

Saint Lucia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Barbados has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barbados
CONCACAF Series
29.03.26	Barbados - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	2:3 ✺
26.03.26	Saint Martin - Barbados	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Barbados - Aruba	0:3 ✺
12.11.25	Barbados - Bonaire	3:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Saint Lucia - Barbados	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Saint Lucia
FIFA Series
27.03.26	Azerbaijan - Saint Lucia	6:1 ✺
CONCACAF Series
15.11.25	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Saint Lucia	3:1 ✺
12.11.25	Cuba - Saint Lucia	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Saint Lucia - Barbados	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Curaçao - Saint Lucia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Saint Lucia - Barbados	2:1
Friendly
02.07.17	Barbados - Saint Lucia	1:1

Barbados - Saint Lucia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide