Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday


	Barcelona		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.95	3.45	3.65
	1.82	3.2	4.1
	1.88	3.45	4.35
	1.85	3.2	4.33
	1.87	3.42	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.29)	3.34 ↓ (3.56)	4.13 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
49.8%

Draw
27.8%

Paris Saint-Germain
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26.7%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

18.9%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona's performance.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barcelona - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Barcelona in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PSG is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barcelona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona Women
Spanish Liga F Women
28.04.21	Madrid CFF - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.04.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
20.04.21	Barcelona - Tenerife	6:1 ✺
17.04.21	Barcelona - Deportivo A Coruña	9:0 ✺
04.04.21	Barcelona - Levante	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWW
- Paris Saint-Germain Féminines
UEFA Champions League Women
25.04.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
18.04.21	OL Lyonnes - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
French Division 1 Women
04.04.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Soyaux	7:0 ✺
27.03.21	Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
24.03.21	Paris Saint-Germain - OL Lyonnes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
25.04.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona	1:1
29.04.17	Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona	2:0
22.04.17	Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3
30.03.16	Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona	1:0
23.03.16	Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0

Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide