The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bari U19 40.3%
Draw 26.2%
Pescara U19 33.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.3%
26.3%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
26.1%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Pescara U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari U19 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara U19 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Bari U19 - Pescara U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Primavera 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari U19 won 1.
Bari U19 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Pescara U19 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Bari U19 has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 1.6:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bari U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:8 goals (averaging 2:2.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Pescara U19 - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.