Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 19

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz		Gießen

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.7	3.7	4.5
	1.74	3.77	4.29
	1.67	3.77	4.46	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.66	3.6	4.57
	1.7	3.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.38)	3.66 ↓ (4.77)	4.49 ↓ (6.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
54.6%

Draw
25%

Gießen
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

19.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz's form might have worsened.

Gießen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gießen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gießen than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gießen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barockstadt Fulda Lehnerz - Gießen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 1 - 1, Dittmann M. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).

Barockstadt is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gießen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barockstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barockstadt is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barockstadt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Barockstadt won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
16.11.24	Homburg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Eintracht Frankfurt II	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hessen Kassel - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Mainz II	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Stuttgarter Kickers - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTWT
- FC Gießen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
23.11.24	Gießen - Bahlinger	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Gießen - Hoffenheim II	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Freiberg - Gießen	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Gießen - FSV Frankfurt	0:3 ✺
25.10.24	Kickers Offenbach - Gießen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
03.08.24	Gießen - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:2
German Oberliga Hessen
24.11.18	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Gießen	1:2
18.08.18	Gießen - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	3:1

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