Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Cape Town City

	1	X	2
	2.98	3	2.28
	2.70	2.94	2.61	Watch
	3.07	2.98	2.27
	3.2	2.96	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.7)	2.97 ↑ (2.94)	2.35 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
30.5%

Draw
30.7%

Cape Town City
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Cape Town City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Baroka - Cape Town City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baroka won 0.

Baroka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cape Town City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baroka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cape Town City has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Cape Town City will win today's game, with odds of 2.59.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Baroka won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Baroka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
28.10.25	Upington City - Baroka	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Hungry Lions - Baroka	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Baroka - University of Pretoria	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Baroka - Milford	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Gomora United - Baroka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cape Town City
South African First Division
25.10.25	Cape Town City - The Bees	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Midlands Wanderers - Cape Town City	2:3 ✺
01.10.25	Cape Town City - Leicesterford City	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Cape Town City - Kruger United	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Cape Town City - Casric Stars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
03.04.22	Cape Town City - Baroka	5:1
11.12.21	Baroka - Cape Town City	0:0
03.04.21	Cape Town City - Baroka	0:0
31.01.21	Baroka - Cape Town City	1:1
05.01.20	Cape Town City - Baroka	1:0
03.08.19	Baroka - Cape Town City	2:2
12.01.19	Cape Town City - Baroka	2:2

Baroka - Cape Town City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide