Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Leruma United

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.75
	1.68	3.4	4.75
	1.64	3.36	4.77
	1.71	3.52	4.55	Watch
	1.64	3.38	5.18
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.3)	3.38 ↑ (2.95)	4.79 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Baroka
54.2%

Draw
26.8%

Leruma United
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baroka's performance.

Leruma United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leruma United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baroka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leruma United than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leruma United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baroka - Leruma United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Mogale T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Sniper ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Sniper ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
02.11.24	Baroka - Milford	2:3 ✺
26.10.24	Pretoria Callies - Baroka	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Durban City - Baroka	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Baroka - Casric Stars	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	University of Pretoria - Baroka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT
- Leruma United
South African First Division
03.11.24	Leruma United - Kruger United	1:4 ✺
26.10.24	Milford - Leruma United	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Leruma United - Casric Stars	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Leruma United - Cape Town Spurs	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Leruma United - JDR Stars	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLWWL

Baroka - Leruma United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide