Match Info

NETHERLANDS: DERDE DIVISIE - ROUND 26

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Baronie		ADO 20 Heemskerk

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.57
	4.65	4.15	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.4)	4.08 ↑ (4)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baronie
20.2%

Draw
22.3%

ADO 20 Heemskerk
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

22.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baronie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ADO 20 Heemskerk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baronie than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Derde Divisie (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Tweede Divisie).

Baronie is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches ADO '20 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ADO '20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match ADO '20 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baronie won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV Baronie
Dutch Derde Divisie
12.03.23	USV Hercules - Baronie	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Baronie - Groene Ster	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Baronie - UDI 19	2:3 ✺
05.02.23	HV & CV Quick - Baronie	5:3 ✺
29.01.23	Baronie - Watergraafsmeer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch Derde Divisie
19.03.23	USV Hercules - ADO 20 Heemskerk	4:0 ✺
12.03.23	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Gemert	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	ADO 20 Heemskerk - VVSB	3:3 ✺
12.02.23	TOGB - ADO 20 Heemskerk	6:0 ✺
05.02.23	ADO 20 Heemskerk - OJC Rosmalen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
02.10.22	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Baronie	2:1

Baronie - ADO 20 Heemskerk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide