Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Barquereño		Siete Villas

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.5
	1.66	3.55	4.6
	1.64	3.62	4.72
	1.66	3.55	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	3.58 ↓ (3.61)	4.61 (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barquereño
55%

Draw
25.3%

Siete Villas
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

22.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barquereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Siete Villas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barquereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siete Villas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Colina D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Gutierrez H. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Sanchez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
49', 3 - 1, Franco S. ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, Franco S. ⚽,
80', 5 - 1, Delgado A. ⚽,
90', 5 - 2, Garcia R. ⚽,
90+12', 6 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Barquereño is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Siete Villas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Barquereño is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barquereño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
12.01.25	Barquereño - Atlético Albericia	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Guarnizo - Barquereño	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Barquereño - Vimenor	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	Barquereño - Monte	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Tropezón - Barquereño	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- CD Siete Villas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
12.01.25	Tropezón - Siete Villas	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Siete Villas - Barreda Balompié	1:5 ✺
14.12.24	Torina - Siete Villas	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Siete Villas - Sámano	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Gama - Siete Villas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
08.09.24	Siete Villas - Barquereño	0:3
20.01.21	Siete Villas - Barquereño	3:0

Barquereño - Siete Villas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide