The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barquisimeto 41.6%
Draw 28.6%
Yaracuyanos 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
25.4%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
24.6%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barquisimeto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barquisimeto's form might have worsened.
Yaracuyanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yaracuyanos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barquisimeto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barquisimeto won 2.
Barquisimeto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Yaracuyanos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Barquisimeto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Barquisimeto is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barquisimeto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Barquisimeto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).