Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Barracas Central 2		Newells Old Boys 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.57
	5	3.65	1.59
	5.37	3.7	1.58
	5.53	3.45	1.59
	5	3.65	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (4.03)	3.63 ↑ (3.27)	1.58 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central 2
17.7%

Draw
25%

Newells Old Boys 2
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.9%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.3%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newells Old Boys 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central 2 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newells Old Boys 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barracas Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Scarpeccio F. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Benedetto B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 2, Zarate M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Barracas Central 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Newells Old Boys 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Newells Old Boys 2 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barracas Central 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
26.03.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Barracas Central 2	0:0 ✺
20.03.25	Barracas Central 2 - Central Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Aldosivi 2 - Barracas Central 2	4:0 ✺
06.03.25	Barracas Central 2 - Banfield 2	0:0 ✺
25.02.25	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Barracas Central 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLLTW
- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.03.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
20.03.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Central Córdoba 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:3 ✺
04.03.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Aldosivi 2	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Banfield 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
03.03.23	Barracas Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1
22.10.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - Barracas Central 2	3:0

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