The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 2 38.7%
Draw 29%
Rosario Central 2 32.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.6%
29.4%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
30.2%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Newells Old Boys 2 - Rosario Central 2 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Amadio J. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Castelli G. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Amadio J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys 2 won 1.
Newells Old Boys 2 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Rosario Central 2 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rosario Central 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Newells Old Boys 2 has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:14 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newells Old Boys 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Newells Old Boys 2 - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.59%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.