Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Barreda Balompié		Siete Villas

	1	X	2
	1.89	3.6	3.4
	1.89	3.61	3.32
	1.9	3.77	3.38
	1.88	3.55	3.5
	1.89	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.25)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	3.4 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreda Balompié
48.1%

Draw
25.1%

Siete Villas
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

26.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

26.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreda Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barreda Balompié's performance.

Siete Villas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siete Villas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreda Balompié than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barreda Balompié that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siete Villas than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siete Villas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barreda won 3.

Recent form of Barreda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Siete Villas is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Siete Villas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Barreda has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barreda won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home match between the teams, Barreda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barreda Balompié
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
26.04.25	Atlético Albericia - Barreda Balompié	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Barreda Balompié - Guarnizo	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Vimenor - Barreda Balompié	5:4 ✺
30.03.25	Tropezón - Barreda Balompié	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Monte - Barreda Balompié	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLTT
- CD Siete Villas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
27.04.25	Siete Villas - Torina	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Sámano - Siete Villas	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Siete Villas - Gama	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Naval Reinosa - Siete Villas	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Siete Villas - Atlético Mineros Reocín	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
22.12.24	Siete Villas - Barreda Balompié	1:5
27.02.22	Siete Villas - Barreda Balompié	3:2
30.10.21	Barreda Balompié - Siete Villas	2:0
16.02.20	Siete Villas - Barreda Balompié	2:0
07.10.18	Siete Villas - Barreda Balompié	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.03.18	Siete Villas - Barreda Balompié	0:2

Barreda Balompié - Siete Villas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide