Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Barreda Balompié		Tropezón

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.77
	3.8	3.45	1.83
	4	3.5	1.75
	3.8	3.66	1.81	Watch
	3.97	3.54	1.77
	3.8	3.45	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.86)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	1.79 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreda Balompié
23.5%

Draw
25.9%

Tropezón
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.6%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreda Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barreda Balompié's form might have worsened.

Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tropezón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreda Balompié than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barreda Balompié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tropezón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barreda Balompié - Tropezón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
80', 0 - 1, Acosta A. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 2, Tresgallo Balbin R. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barreda Balompié
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.11.24	Barreda Balompié - Monte	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Torina - Barreda Balompié	3:2 ✺
26.10.24	Barreda Balompié - Sámano	0:3 ✺
12.10.24	Barreda Balompié - Naval Reinosa	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Barreda Balompié - Cayón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLLWW
- CD Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.11.24	Tropezón - Torina	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Tropezón - Gama	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Naval Reinosa - Tropezón	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	Tropezón - Atlético Mineros Reocín	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Tropezón - Bezana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
25.10.20	Tropezón - Barreda Balompié	2:0
14.12.19	Barreda Balompié - Tropezón	1:4
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Tropezón - Barreda Balompié	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
03.02.19	Tropezón - Barreda Balompié	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.01.18	Barreda Balompié - Tropezón	0:0

Barreda Balompié - Tropezón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide