Match Info

Date: 18 February 2020, Tuesday


	Barrow		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.6	3.75	5
	1.57	4	4.9
	1.57	4	4.89
	1.59	4.23	5.42
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.61	4.2	4.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)	4.05 ↑ (3.67)	5.08 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
58.7%

Draw
23%

Dover Athletic
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

25.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

15.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-25.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dover Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	6.6%	9.2%

Barrow - Dover Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: Barrow will win (64 of 76 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.01% – 92.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English FA Trophy
08.02.20	Barnet - Barrow	3:0 ✺
English National League
04.02.20	Dover Athletic - Barrow	2:1 ✺
01.02.20	Barrow - Torquay United	2:1 ✺
28.01.20	Solihull Moors - Barrow	0:0 ✺
25.01.20	Boreham Wood - Barrow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWTT
- Dover Athletic
English National League
04.02.20	Dover Athletic - Barrow	2:1 ✺
01.02.20	Stockport County - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
28.01.20	Halifax Town - Dover Athletic	4:2 ✺
25.01.20	Dover Athletic - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
18.01.20	Notts County - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.02.20	Dover Athletic - Barrow	2:1
13.04.19	Barrow - Dover Athletic	2:3
29.09.18	Dover Athletic - Barrow	0:2
24.03.18	Barrow - Dover Athletic	0:0
19.08.17	Dover Athletic - Barrow	1:1
29.04.17	Barrow - Dover Athletic	2:3
20.08.16	Dover Athletic - Barrow	3:1

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