Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium (Nzema Anyinase)


	Basake Holy Stars		Karela

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.65	7.7
	1.63	3.14	5.51
	1.67	3.14	5.55	Watch
	1.53	3.25	6
	1.54	3.52	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.82)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	6.14 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basake Holy Stars
58.2%

Draw
27.1%

Karela
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

29.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

28.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basake Holy Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basake Holy Stars's performance.

Karela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basake Holy Stars than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basake Holy Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karela than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basake Holy Stars - Karela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kassi Tayi D. (G) 40. Amponsah P. 55. Asante F. 4. Author M. 13. Hagan K. (C) 37. Kwame E. 21. Mensah M. 9. Ocran P. 6. Oteng F. 77. Simba S. 19. Tweneboah P.	16. Afadzwu D. (G) 18. Abdulai H. 13. Abubakar M. 33. Alhassan M. A. 30. Ali A. 26. Boateng G. 3. Gariba F. 9. Mortu F. 6. Quansah J. 21. Yaya A. (C) 14. Zaidan M.
Substitutes
15. Adams K. 68. Bismark T. 33. Blay B. 5. Boadi E. 31. Dagbatey Basit A. 32. Nana G. K. 25. Quaison G. 16. Shaibu M. 10. Somiah R.	35. Adom P. 11. Antwi Konadu E. 20. Bekoe J. 34. Berko R. 12. Ganiu A. (G) 2. Mohammed F. 48. Parker M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Karela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Holy Stars is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Holy Stars will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Holy Stars won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Holy Stars won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Holy Stars	5	3	0	2	4:5	-1	9
11	Karela	5	2	0	3	6:7	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basake Holy Stars
Ghanaian Premier League
28.03.26	Vision - Basake Holy Stars	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Basake Holy Stars - Young Apostles	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Accra Hearts of Oak - Basake Holy Stars	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Basake Holy Stars - Heart of Lions	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Basake Holy Stars - Swedru All Blacks	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWTWW
- Karela FC
Ghanaian Premier League
29.03.26	Karela - Bibiani Gold Stars	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Berekum Chelsea - Karela	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Karela - Asante Kotoko	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Bechem United - Karela	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Karela - Eleven Wonders	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ghanaian Premier League
22.11.25	Karela - Basake Holy Stars	3:2
13.10.24	Basake Holy Stars - Karela	1:0

Basake Holy Stars - Karela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide