Match Info

Paulista B - Second stage - Round 5

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday


	Batatais		Guarulhos

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.4	4.25
	1.14	6.92	14.88	Watch
	1.97	3.58	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.07)	4.63 ↑ (3.6)	7.45 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Batatais
64.1%

Draw
22.1%

Guarulhos
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Batatais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Batatais's performance.

Guarulhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarulhos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Batatais than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Batatais that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarulhos than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarulhos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Renato Camargo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Batatais has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guarulhos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Batatais may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Batatais might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Batatais won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Batatais FC
Brazilian Paulista B
19.07.25	Mauá - Batatais	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Batatais - Mauá	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Guarulhos - Batatais	0:3 ✺
29.06.25	Batatais - ECUS	3:1 ✺
15.06.25	Batatais - Flamengo de Guarulhos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWWT
- AD Guarulhos
Brazilian Paulista B
19.07.25	ECUS - Guarulhos	4:1 ✺
12.07.25	Guarulhos - ECUS	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Guarulhos - Batatais	0:3 ✺
28.06.25	Mauá - Guarulhos	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Guarulhos - Independente de Limeira	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista B
06.07.25	Guarulhos - Batatais	0:3
25.05.25	Guarulhos - Batatais	5:0

Batatais - Guarulhos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide