Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Hernandez C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Usa	NWSL+, Victory+


	Bay FC		Utah Royals

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.32	3.43	2
	3.36	3.49	2.03	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.31	3.4	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.89)	3.32 ↑ (3.29)	2.01 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bay FC
27.6%

Draw
27.3%

Utah Royals
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.7%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.3%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Utah Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Royals than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Bay FC - Utah Royals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Silkowitz J. (G) 16. Collins S. (C) 21. Cometti A. 18. Anderson J. 25. Denton A. 41. Bebar H. 8. Hutton C. 7. Huff T. 19. Bailey D. 9. Kundananji R. 5. Lema K.	1. McGlynn M. (G) 7. Thomsen J. 8. Del Fava K. (C) 18. Riehl K. 14. Rabano N. 17. Tejada Jimenez A. 10. Miura N. 5. Delzer C. 11. Tanaka M. 24. Lacasse C. 21. Palacios K.
Substitutes
32. Allen E. (G) 12. Boade T. 23. Conti C. 22. Courtnall B. 6. Gamero O. 11. Hubly K. 1. Miller C. (G) 24. Moreau M. 14. Shepherd J.	16. Brown C. 4. Cronin P. 23. Justus M. (G) 2. Milazzo T. 22. Moriya M. 13. Mozingo B. 20. Nagai A. 15. Pierre-Louis D. 30. Spaanstra A.
Coaches
Coates E.	Coenraets J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thomsen J. ↓, Milazzo T. ↑,
55', Hutton C. 🟨,
58', Huff T. ↓, Conti C. ↑,
61', Palacios K. ↓, Cronin P. ↑,
65', Cometti A. 🟨,
70', Milazzo T. 🟨,
73', Bailey D. ↓, Gamero O. ↑,
75', Miura N. ↓, Nagai A. ↑,
75', Lacasse C. ↓, Spaanstra A. ↑,
81', Anderson J. 🟨,
88', Delzer C. ↓, Mozingo B. ↑,
90', Lema K. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Utah is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Utah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Utah could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Utah Royals W	27	14	4	9	44:35	9	46
14	Bay FC W	27	7	5	15	28:42	-14	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bay FC
NWSL
03.05.26	San Diego Wave - Bay FC	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	NJ NY Gotham - Bay FC	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Bay FC - Washington Spirit	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	North Carolina Courage - Bay FC	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Bay FC - Angel City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLLWL
- Utah Royals
NWSL
06.05.26	Utah Royals - Houston Dash	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Angel City - Utah Royals	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Seattle Reign - Utah Royals	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Utah Royals - Chicago Stars	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Boston Legacy - Utah Royals	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
27.09.25	Bay FC - Utah Royals	0:2
15.03.25	Utah Royals - Bay FC	1:1
23.08.24	Utah Royals - Bay FC	2:1
16.06.24	Bay FC - Utah Royals	0:1

Bay FC - Utah Royals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide